agentsPublished: July 21, 2026

CodeRescue: Budget-Calibrated Recovery Routing for Coding Agents

By Qijia He, Jiayi Cheng, Chenqian Le, Rui Wang, Xunmei Liu, Yixian Chen, Jie Mei, Zhihao Wang, Xupeng Chen, Yuhuan Chen, Tao Wang

Research TL;DR

"Proposes a recovery routing system for coding agents using supervised learning and Conformal Risk Control to decide post-failure whether to retry cheaply or escalate, optimizing under budget constraints."

Abstract

Coding agents increasingly operate in executable environments where a failed attempt produces actionable feedback rather than merely an incorrect answer. Existing cost-aware systems typically treat such failures as cascade decisions: try a cheap model first, then escalate hard cases to a stronger and more expensive model. In coding, however, execution feedback can also make further cheap-model recovery worthwhile, raising a budgeted deployment question: when should an agent spend more cheap compute, and when should it escalate? We formulate this post-failure decision as recovery routing over heterogeneous actions and train a supervised router from execution rollouts. To make the same router usable under changing budgets, we add a Conformal Risk Control (CRC) layer that selects a deployment-time cost penalty without retraining and provides marginal expected-cost control under exchangeability. Across held-out failures from five coding benchmarks, cheap recovery and escalation exhibit complementary success patterns. The calibrated frontier improves over fixed actions, prompt-only routers, and a binary cascade baseline; in the main GPT-5.4-nano/GPT-5.4 setting, one CRC-calibrated frontier point exceeds always-escalate solve rate while using 35% of its mean recovery cost. Code is available at https://github.com/Qijia-He/agent-budget-control.

Technical Analysis & Implementation

Technical Breakdown§

Problem Formulation§

Coding agents execute code and receive execution feedback. After a failure, the agent can either retry with a cheap model (recovery) or escalate to a stronger, more expensive model. The goal is to minimize cost while maintaining high solve rate. The paper formalizes this as a routing problem: given a failure context $x$ (including code, error, execution trace), choose an action $a \in \mathcal{A}$ (e.g., cheap recovery, escalation) with associated cost $c(a)$ and success probability $p(a|x)$. A router $\pi: \mathcal{X} \to \Delta(\mathcal{A})$ maps contexts to action probabilities. The expected cost for a given solve rate is optimized via a supervised learning approach.

Model Architecture§

The router is a neural network $f_\theta(x)$ that outputs action scores. During training, it learns from execution rollouts: for each failure, multiple actions are tried, yielding success/failure and cost. The training loss is a weighted cross-entropy where positive weight is given to successful actions and negative weight to failures, with a cost penalty term controlled by hyperparameter $\lambda$. The exact loss is:

$$ \mathcal{L}(\theta) = \mathbb{E}_{(x, a, s) \sim \mathcal{D}} \left[ - s \cdot \log \pi_\theta(a|x) + \lambda \cdot c(a) \cdot \mathbb{1}[s=1] \right] $$

where $s \in \{0,1\}$ is success indicator, $c(a)$ is cost, and $\pi_\theta$ is softmax of $f_\theta$.

Conformal Risk Control (CRC) Layer§

To make the router robust to changing budgets, a post-hoc calibration step is added. Given a held-out calibration set, CRC selects a threshold $\tau$ on the cost penalty $\lambda$ such that the expected cost of the router is controlled at level $\alpha$ with high probability. Under exchangeability of calibration data, CRC guarantees:

$$ \mathbb{P}\left( \mathbb{E}[c(\pi_\tau)] \leq \alpha \right) \geq 1 - \delta $$

where $\pi_\tau$ is the router with penalty $\tau$. Practically, they compute empirical cost for a grid of $\tau$ values and pick the smallest $\tau$ such that the empirical cost is below $\alpha$.

Implementation Details§

  • Router: 2-layer MLP with hidden size 256, ReLU activations, dropout 0.1.
  • Training: Adam optimizer, learning rate 1e-4, batch size 64, early stopping.
  • CRC grid: 100 equally spaced $\tau$ values between 0 and 10.
  • Calibration set: 200 failure instances held out from training data.

Code Snippet (PyTorch)§

import torch
import torch.nn as nn

class RecoveryRouter(nn.Module):
    def __init__(self, input_dim, num_actions):
        super().__init__()
        self.net = nn.Sequential(
            nn.Linear(input_dim, 256),
            nn.ReLU(),
            nn.Dropout(0.1),
            nn.Linear(256, num_actions)
        )
    
    def forward(self, x):
        return torch.softmax(self.net(x), dim=-1)

# Training loop (simplified)
def train(model, dataloader, lambda_penalty):
    optimizer = torch.optim.Adam(model.parameters(), lr=1e-4)
    for x, action, success, cost in dataloader:
        probs = model(x)
        log_probs = torch.log(probs.gather(1, action.unsqueeze(1)))
        success = success.float()
        loss = - (success * log_probs).mean() + lambda_penalty * (cost * success).mean()
        optimizer.zero_grad()
        loss.backward()
        optimizer.step()

Results§

Across five coding benchmarks (e.g., HumanEval, MBPP), the method achieves a frontier of cost vs. solve rate. One operating point under calibration uses 35% of the cost of always-escalate while achieving comparable solve rate.

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API Pricing Comparison (per Million Tokens)

ModelInputOutput
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Fugu Ultra v2$5.00$30.00
Ling 3.0 Flash VL$0.06$0.18
DeepSeek V4.1 Flash$0.15$0.60
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o4 Mini Deep Research$2.00$8.00
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R1$0.70$2.50
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Phi 4$0.07$0.14
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o1$15.00$60.00
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GPT-4o (2024-11-20)$2.50$10.00
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UnslopNemo 12B$0.40$0.40
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Llama 3.2 1B Instruct$0.03$0.20
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GPT-4o (2024-08-06)$2.50$10.00
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Llama 3.1 8B Instruct$0.05$0.08
Llama 3.1 405B$0.80$0.80
Llama 3.1 8B$0.04$0.04
Mistral Nemo$0.02$0.03
GPT-4o-mini (2024-07-18)$0.15$0.60
GPT-4o-mini$0.15$0.60
Gemma 2 27B$0.65$0.65
GPT-4o (2024-05-13)$5.00$15.00
GPT-4o$2.50$10.00
Llama 3 8B Instruct$0.14$0.14
Mixtral 8x22B Instruct$2.00$6.00
WizardLM-2 8x22B$0.62$0.62
GPT-4 Turbo$10.00$30.00
Command R+$2.50$10.00
Claude 3 Haiku$0.25$1.25
Command R$0.15$0.60
Mistral Large$2.00$6.00
GPT-3.5 Turbo (older v0613)$1.00$2.00
GPT-4 Turbo Preview$10.00$30.00
Auto Router$0.00$0.00
GPT-3.5 Turbo Instruct$1.50$2.00
GPT-3.5 Turbo 16k$3.00$4.00
GPT-3.5 Turbo$0.50$1.50
GPT-4$30.00$60.00
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