Policy on the AI Exponential: Dario Amodei's Vision

Dario Amodei's blog post 'Policy on the AI Exponential' proposes a regulatory approach for the fast pace of AI development. He argues that traditional linear regulation is inadequate for exponential technological growth. Amodei suggests 'speed bumps'—mandatory safety testing before releasing models above certain capability thresholds, similar to clinical trials for drugs. He also advocates for compute governance, transparency requirements, and liability rules for AI accidents. The post warns against both over-regulation that stifles innovation and under-regulation that leads to catastrophic risks. Amodei proposes an international treaty to set minimum standards, with national enforcement. The framework is designed to be adaptable as capabilities evolve.